NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated December 02, 2025
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Creaser | 27 | 14 | 73.0% | 1 | 35.0 | 1 |
| 2 | Matt Hogel | 21 | 14 | 56.8% | 4 | 28.3 | 4 |
| 2 | Karl Loiseau | 21 | 15 | 58.3% | 2 | 28.4 | 3 |
| 2 | Andrew Batchelor | 21 | 15 | 58.3% | 2 | 28.5 | 2 |
| 5 | Matt McEwan | 19 | 15 | 52.8% | 5 | 26.3 | 5 |
| 6 | Mike Thorne | 18 | 14 | 48.6% | 6 | 25.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Dan Ellenberger | 17 | 14 | 45.9% | 8 | 23.3 | 8 |
| 7 | Andrew Moeller | 17 | 15 | 47.2% | 7 | 24.8 | 7 |
| 9 | Luke Phelan | 14 | 15 | 38.9% | 9 | 20.9 | 9 |
| 10 | Nick Boucher | 13 | 15 | 36.1% | 10 | 20.9 | 9 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| New England Patriots | 11 | 13.2 | – | |
| Indianapolis Colts | 8 | 10.7 | JAX | 0.55 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 8 | 11.1 | LAC | 0.59 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Denver Broncos | 10 | 12.7 | LV | 0.75 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 8 | 10.7 | IND | 0.45 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 5.1 | MIN | 0.55 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Chicago Bears | 9 | 11.2 | GB | 0.28 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 9 | 12.1 | ARI | 0.77 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 5.1 | LA | 0.23 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 9 | 11.4 | – | |
| Houston Texans | 7 | 9.7 | KC | 0.38 |
| Miami Dolphins | 5 | 7.2 | NYJ | 0.59 |
| Matt McEwan | ||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 9 | 11.7 | ATL | 0.75 |
| Buffalo Bills | 8 | 11.3 | CIN | 0.7 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 3.3 | DEN | 0.25 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 8 | 11.1 | CHI | 0.72 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 10.1 | PHI | 0.41 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 4.3 | – | |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 7 | 10.0 | DAL | 0.61 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 8.6 | DET | 0.39 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 6.2 | SEA | 0.25 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Carolina Panthers | 7 | 8.7 | – | |
| Baltimore Ravens | 6 | 8.8 | PIT | 0.69 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 4 | 5.8 | WAS | 0.45 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 10.1 | NO | 0.77 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 8.3 | BAL | 0.31 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 2.5 | CLE | 0.34 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 6 | 9.6 | HOU | 0.62 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | 6.7 | BUF | 0.3 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 4.6 | TEN | 0.66 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Strength of Schedule in the coming weeks
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 8 | 4 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
| New England Patriots | 11 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 8 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 9 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 2 |
| Houston Texans | 7 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
| Miami Dolphins | 5 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 9 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 2 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 17 | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| Chicago Bears | 9 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Denver Broncos | 10 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 |
| Washington Commanders | 3 | 14 | 7 | -4 | 10 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 8 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Matt McEwan | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 8 | 1 | 11 | -3 | 5 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 9 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 27 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 8 | 7 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 28 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 6 | 2 | 10 | -4 | 14 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 4 | 16 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| Carolina Panthers | 7 | 29 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Detroit Lions | 7 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 10 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 12 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 24 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 6 | 3 | 9 | -3 | 15 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | 13 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Draft Results
